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April update 2024 SA

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April update 2024 SA *Forecast prepared between April 18th-21st 2024 Review: G’Day everyone, mid-April is here and time to have another look at how things are progressing weather wise – to be honest not a great deal to talk about so far but we will have a look through exactly how long this dry spell will last and what we can expect in the coming months ahead. Firstly, though a quick look back at how April is going, and one word sums it up – dry. The overlying pattern this month so far is seeing significant downwelling in the wake of the strong MJO phase that repeatedly sat across the top end of Australia with an open channel down the eastern part of the mainland. Now we see more widespread sinking affect 80% of the mainland as the bulk of the activity shifts offshore from the eastern states though some still remains. A quick tidbit on the WA thunderstorms that absolutely smashed the northern suburbs of Perth (primarily). We saw a sharp upper trough combine with remnant moisture form Ex
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April Outlook 2024 SA

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April outlook 2024 SA *Forecast prepared between April 1st-5th 2024 Review: G’Day everyone, April is now here and certainly a time when most of you are looking to the heavens for that opening rainfall, something that has been devoid for much of the agricultural area in contrast to the wet inland and interior. Below I’ll post a few charts up to highlight the contrast of summer so far how a wet December and January turned to a very dry Feb and a mixed March (very wet inland very dry south). In short March was a very stable and dry month for the agricultural area with numerous hot days and low-end heatwaves – nothing like 2008 of course but we saw the overall average temperature come in quite a bit above average to make it one of our hotter March’s in recent times. Heavy tropical moisture pumped into the interior consistently, but the entire lot barely made a scratch into the agricultural areas. The exceptions were a couple of thunderstorms with locally intense falls across the Lower Nort
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Quick Update VIC SA upper lowtrough with showers and thunders

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Quick Update VIC & SA upper low/trough with showers and thunderstorms April 1st 2024 G’Day everyone, thought I’d whip out a quick little update tonight just to cover the developing situation for tomorrow over much of Western to Central VIC and some far eastern portions of SA – mainly the eastern and northern Riverland but also potentially eastern border regions of the Mallee also but the main focus is well and truly in VIC. Today on March 31st (Easter Sunday) we have seen some afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms develop with surface heating, primarily over the ranges north and NE of Adelaide across both the Lower and Upper North as well as the Flinders. Later near sunset some of these developed down across the Riverland and Northern Mallee before petering out. Locally heavy falls with flash flooding have occurred. Yesterday on the 30th (Easter Saturday) we saw some more significant thunderstorms in slack shear and deeper moisture develop across the NE Pastoral with some
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March update 2024 SA

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March update 2024 SA *Forecast prepared between March 18th-21st 2024 Review: G’Day everyone, it is now that time of the month again, and back on track after a later March outlook which I apologise for one again. I had my sinus surgery on the 13th and now has nasal splints in there until the 26th. I certainly don’t recommend them putting it mildly, 1-2hours of sleep a night so far in the last 4 days. Hopefully we can improve on that going forward. But it gives me some time to have a better look at the weather for you all as I have taken a week off work to help aid the recovery – it was a little ambitious going back to nightshift on the 16th I think. So recent happenings have gone fairly much to plan with respect to the March forecast, some patchy rain areas with the jetstream squeeze before some isolated thunderstorms, chiefly in the east but certainly yesterday on the 17th, we saw one long-lived supercell thunderstorm for across the Lower North and track NNE across the range, passing j
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March outlook 2024 SA

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March outlook 2024 SA *Forecast prepared between March 8-10th 2024 Review: G’Day everyone, I trust you are all keeping well. Firstly, my most sincere apologies for the lateness of the March outlook, there has been quite a bit going on within the family and that at this time must come first. But in these spart moments I do have, I’ll whip up something all the same. Back on track for mid-month hopefully! Now taking a look back to February and honestly there is much to talk about rain wsie (I’ll get to the March storms up north and out west in a little bit). A big fat 0.0mm at my place and I am sure just about the entire agricultural area received similar, perhaps a few stations recorded a trace with some mid-level showers only. The main rainfall impacts were earlier in the month over the NE Pastoral District, and primarily in the NE corner, with Moomba doing very well recording 106.2mm for the month. It is likely some area north of here recorded upwards of 150mm for the month which was n
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