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November outlook 2024 SA

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  November outlook 2024 SA    *Forecast prepared between October 29th-Nov 3rd 2024       Review:    G’Day everyone, I trust and hope that you are all keeping well. Time for the November update – I did consider an October mid-monther but due to personal commitments and a lack of significant rain/weather systems, I decided to abandon that. The main talking point to review is indeed that thunderstorm system that we had on the 17 th which was in our broader instability window first hinted in the initial October outlook. It was nice for it to come together for a change but no doubt with very mixed feelings for many. Too late for probably 90% of crops but useful for tanks and dams but no good for those cutting hay. The lead up to the event saw some ‘pre-wetting’ of the surface across primarily the Lower and Upper North (and a little into the Riverland and Mallee) with some areas of rain and isolated thunderstorms. The moisture feeding in from the tropics was the most significant

October outlook 2024 SA

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October outlook 2024 SA     *Forecast prepared between October 1 st -3rd 2024         Review:     G’Day one and all, October is now here and certainly a critical time in regard to how things finish. For some, there has been too much damage done and that is greatly unfortunate and sad to see. For others, there is still some hope left where a few mm here and there may end up giving the last finish for what is still growing, albeit at a very reduced yield. We’ll take a look at what we can find for the rest of this month and then going forward. Firstly, though as usual, a look back at the month that was, or should we say – wasn't in September. The expectation many months out was that we’d be making a run at a Negative IOD with September showing improvement compared to July and even August with a building towards a better finish to the year. Fast forward to the start of September and it was clear that that was out the window with a much-revised forecast which I will put belo

September update 2024 SA

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September update 2024 SA   *Forecast prepared between Sept 14th-16th 2024   Review:  G’Day everyone, now before I get into the weather side of things I just want to mention that I really hope you are doing ok, all things considering. I understand that things right now are extremely tough for many of you, and I just want to acknowledge that. I hope that each and every one of you reading this can see some relief ASAP as the current situation of this drought is no doubt crippling beyond the understanding of many outside of regional centres and those that are working on the land. Let’s hope we can go onwards and upwards from here extremely soon. Now looking back so far at September and it is safe to say that the dry conditions have gripped us completely with numerous failed systems struggling to connect at all to the tropics. Fast moving mid-level westerlies have ripped across the state whilst the low levels see significant lag which results in all potential sources of rainfall being out o