Posts

October outlook 2024 SA

Image
October outlook 2024 SA     *Forecast prepared between October 1 st -3rd 2024         Review:     G’Day one and all, October is now here and certainly a critical time in regard to how things finish. For some, there has been too much damage done and that is greatly unfortunate and sad to see. For others, there is still some hope left where a few mm here and there may end up giving the last finish for what is still growing, albeit at a very reduced yield. We’ll take a look at what we can find for the rest of this month and then going forward. Firstly, though as usual, a look back at the month that was, or should we say – wasn't in September. The expectation many months out was that we’d be making a run at a Negative IOD with September showing improvement compared to July and even August with a building towards a better finish to the year. Fast forward to the start of September and it was clear that that was out the window with a much-revised forecast which I will put belo

September update 2024 SA

Image
September update 2024 SA   *Forecast prepared between Sept 14th-16th 2024   Review:  G’Day everyone, now before I get into the weather side of things I just want to mention that I really hope you are doing ok, all things considering. I understand that things right now are extremely tough for many of you, and I just want to acknowledge that. I hope that each and every one of you reading this can see some relief ASAP as the current situation of this drought is no doubt crippling beyond the understanding of many outside of regional centres and those that are working on the land. Let’s hope we can go onwards and upwards from here extremely soon. Now looking back so far at September and it is safe to say that the dry conditions have gripped us completely with numerous failed systems struggling to connect at all to the tropics. Fast moving mid-level westerlies have ripped across the state whilst the low levels see significant lag which results in all potential sources of rainfall being out o

September outlook 2024 SA

Image
  September outlook 2024 SA     *Forecast prepared between Sept 2 nd -4th 2024         Review:     G’Day everyone, spring has indeed sprung, and a very critical month is upon us, and it will determine for many exactly what can be salvaged from an extremely unreliable growing season rainfall wise to date. Time to get right into things and recap a very windy and frustrating August. The main feature of August was undoubtedly the wind caused by the three Sudden Stratospheric Warming events with the Longwave Trough also sitting right under us for the first time this year and staying there. The problem with all of this is the SSW events essentially ruined the potential of maximising rainfall whilst it was right in our window by invigorating the westerly belt so much that it was essentially screaming under us in a venomous west to east manner without the more usual meandering nature with fronts penetrating inland more in a SW-NE manner, we simply saw very flat westerlies which wa